We’re bad at thinking statistically.

As Daniel Kahneman said, our brains are like machines for jumping to conclusions. We hate uncertainty and ignore the role of luck. We see patterns and stories where they don’t exist. And we’re often blind to data that challenges our pre-existing beliefs.

Yet, thinking statistically is a skill we need in almost everything we do. In any decision we deliberate over, we’re weighing up some sort of data. Whether that’s evaluating the claims we’re bombarded with in the media everyday. Picking our careers. Or finding new strategies to address the world’s most pressing challenges.


Jack Rich

Ex-poker pro, now trying to make work better.

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